特朗普在达沃斯发言，锐评油价、利率、俄乌、欧洲、中国和其他议题沙特王储向特朗普承诺未来四年对美投资六千亿美元，特朗普要一万亿中长期资金入市实施方案出炉，大事不过年，我们只争朝夕。美国上周首次申请失业救济人数增加 6000 人，至 22.3 万人德国大选领跑者警告称，在中国投资的企业面临“巨大风险”A股三大指数今日冲高回落，保险、银行涨幅居前，恒生科技指数跌1.43%。中芯国际等盘中跳水领跌。中债跌，美长债收益率再度回升至近4.65%水平，受TIPS拍卖结果负面影响。汇市因特朗普的发言出现波动，日元在议息会议前至156水平。原油因特朗普言论下跌，黄金小幅下跌后回升，比特币震荡。今日市场波澜不惊，长期美债表现依然疲软，200亿美元的10年期TIPS拍卖得标收益率为2.243%，较WI高出1个bp，为2009年1月以来的最高水平，首申数据没构成太大的市场影响。 特朗普的达沃斯讲话引发了一些波动，一些关键表态如下：Over the past four years, our government racked up $8 trillion in wasteful deficit spending and inflicted nation wrecking energy restrictions, crippling regulations and hidden taxes like never before.在过去的四年里，我们的政府积累了8万亿美元的浪费性赤字支出，并实施了前所未有的破坏国家的能源限制、繁重的监管和隐藏的税收。The result is the worst inflation crisis in modern history, and sky-high interest rates for our citizens and, even throughout the world.结果是现代历史上最严重的通货膨胀危机，以及高得离谱的利率。The United States has the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on Earth, and we're going to use it. Not only will this reduce the cost of virtually all goods and services, it will make the United States a manufacturing superpower and the world capital of artificial intelligence and crypto. 美国拥有地球上任何国家中最多的石油和天然气，我们将利用它。这不仅会降低几乎所有商品和服务的价格，还会使美国成为制造业超级大国和人工智能和加密货币的世界中心。And I'm also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to bring down the cost of oil. You got to bring it down……If the price came down, the Russia-Ukraine war would end immediately.石油价格已经过高。我要求沙特阿拉伯和OPEC降低油价。如果价格下降，俄乌战争就会立即结束。With oil prices going down, I'll demand that interest rates drop immediately. And likewise, they should be dropping all over the world.随着石油价格的下跌，我将要求利率立即下降。且全世界各地的利率都应该下降。I'm also going to ask all NATO nations to increase defence spending to 5% of GDP, which is what it should have been years ago. It was only at 2%, and most nations didn't pay until I came along.我还将要求所有北约国家将其国防开支增加到 GDP 的 5%，这本应该是几年前的水平。它现在只有 2%，在我出现之前，大多数国家都没有支付。My message to businesses around the world is come make your product in the US or pay a tariff,……We will do something about trade deficit with the EU我对全球企业的信息是，来美国生产你的产品，否则将征收关税……我们将处理与欧盟的贸易逆差问题。We've had many deficits with China. It's just an unfair relationship. We don't have to make it phenomenal. We just need to make it fair.我们之间有巨大的赤字，这关系不太公平。关系不用超凡，只需要变得公平。Ukraine is ready to make a deal to end the war.We will not have a tremendous deficit with Canada. We don't need them to make our cars, we don't need their oil and gas, we don't need their lumber.我们不想和加拿大产生巨大的贸易逆差。我们不需要他们来制造我们的汽车，我们不需要他们的石油和天然气，我们不需要他们的木材。For AI to be as big as we want it to be, we need double the amount of energy production than we currently have in the US为了使人工智能达到我们想要的大规模，我们需要加倍能源生产量。We will give businesses who make their product in the US the best tax rate.摩根士丹利：穷吃工资，富吃资产，大家都有美好的未来